Affluent white female Democrats push away Hispanic and working-class voters
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Affluent white female Democrats push away Hispanic and working-class voters


This ain’t your grandfather’s Democratic Party anymore. In fact, your grandfather is probably a Republican now. A political realignment is on the horizon while affluent white Democrats ignore kitchen table issues.

The New York Times continues to release data from the most recent Siena College poll. Data published on Wednesday showcase the shifting demographics of the two-party dichotomy. “For the first time in a Times/Siena national survey, Democrats had a larger share of support among white college graduates than among nonwhite voters,” writes Nate Cohen. “As recently as the 2016 congressional elections, Democrats won more than 70 percent of nonwhite voters while losing among white college graduates.”

Fifty-seven percent of college-educated white people support the Democratic Party in the midterm elections, while 36% support Republicans. Not much swaying can occur because only 7% refused to answer or have yet to decide. When gender is thrown into the equation, another split emerges. “Women propelled Democratic strength among the group, with white college-educated women backing Democrats, 64-30,” Cohen says. “Democrats barely led among white college-educated men, 46-45.”

White voters without college degrees paint a much different picture. Fifty-four percent of white voters without a college education support the Republican Party, and 23% support the Democratic Party. Undecideds are just as large as those firmly in the Democratic camp, with 23% not knowing who they will vote for. The New York Times analysis and Siena College crosstabs fail to mention the gender split among these voters.

Regional differences play important roles in the poll. Half of voters from the Northeast and 52% of respondents out West support Democrats. Meanwhile, Republicans have plurality support of voters from the Midwest and the South.

College-educated white people are far more concerned about pushing the envelope on social issues rather than tackling the economic issues at hand, and it’s costing them. “The economy may be helping Republicans most among Hispanic voters, who preferred Democrats to control Congress, 41-38,” Cohen writes. “Hispanics voted for Democrats by almost a 50-point margin in the 2018 midterms, according to data from Pew Research.”

Twenty percent say the economy is the most important issue facing the nation right now, and inflation comes in second place with 15%. At 28%, Hispanic voters are more concerned over the economy than any other racial or ethnic group and are on par with both white and black voters on inflation.

In total, 42% of Hispanics are most concerned over the economy and inflation. On the other hand, 36% of white voters and 23% of black voters believe these issues are the most important.

Concerns over the economy are translating to support for the Republican Party. Sixty-two percent of voters saying the economy and inflation is the most important issue facing the United States support Republican control of Congress. Cohen labels this group as “often less affluent, nonwhite and moderate.”

Put two and two together and you get a Democratic Party reliant on affluent women living in coastal cities. They’re unable to maintain support among Hispanic voters because they have the luxury of being able to protest during the weekday while low-income voters work for a living.

Affluent Democratic voters are quick to accuse Republicans of “privilege” but fail to see the privilege in their political priorities. Millions of working-class people across various racial backgrounds are having to alter their lifestyles in order to provide for their families. “It’s the economy, stupid,” was true in 1992, and it’s true once again as we head into the midterm elections.

James Sweet is a summer 2022 Washington Examiner fellow.





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Written by James Sweet

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